Financial time series forecasting (Stock prediction)
Author
Chen, Hai Hui
Date of Issue
2016School
School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering
Abstract
Accurate prediction of stock price trend greatly helps stock investor to react correctly in
the stock market. The unsteadiness of the stock market has caused serious profit loss to
many people. Stock markets are easily affected by many factors. It includes financial,
political and unknown company development. In order for one to make profit from the
stock market, it needs adequate forecast to plan the future. Hence, effective, stable and
accurate methods which able to build a model to have the ability to predict the stock
market trend are needed.
The dissertation aims to provide an analysis of Neural Network (NN) and Support
Vector Machine (SVM) method to build a prediction model by using Matlab software
with the input data of Singapore Technology (ST) engineering company stock price. By
using the two methods mentioned to determine the Absolute Error (AE) between
predicted stock price value and the actual stock price value and hence to find the Mean
Square Error (MSE), the results suggest that SVM method has outperformed NN method
on the ST stock price trend prediction.
Subject
DRNTU::Engineering
Type
Final Year Project (FYP)
Rights
Nanyang Technological University
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